So, at this point we are just throwing some educated globs of shit at the wall. We have the final 12 picks. We know some of the team needs, but not everyone is going to draft the same 3 positions.
21. Green Bay Packers - Kony Ealy - DE/OLB.
22. Philadelphia Eagles - Kyle Fuller - CB.
23. Kansas City Chiefs - Louis Nix III. DT.
24. Cincinnati Bengals - Xavier Su'a Filo - OG
25. San Diego Chargers - Jason Verrett - CB.
26. Cleveland Browns - Cyrus Kouandjiou - OT.
27. New Orleans Saints - Kelvin Benjamin - WR.
28. Carolina Panthers - Marqise Lee - WR.
29. New England Patriots - Timmy Jernigan - DT.
30. San Francisco 49ers - Ra-Shede Hageman - DT.
31. Denver Broncos - Stephon Tuitt - DE
32. Seattle Seahawks - Odell Beckham Jr - WR.
Tuesday, May 6, 2014
Friday, May 2, 2014
Mock draft continued
Let's continue this bad boy. If you compare my mock draft to others you might see how different mine is. Good. When the draft happens and were both wrong it wont matter. A lot of positions of value are not matching up for the teams on the board this year. Which means a lot of teams might trade their pick. Or take Best Player Available. It is REALLY difficult to predict a pick being traded since it's so secretive. Even front offices can't always agree. So, it's a crap shoot.
11. Tennessee Titans. Anthony Barr. OLB.
12. New York Giants. Eric Ebron. TE.
13. St. Louis Rams. Clinton Dix. S.
14. Chicago Bears. CJ Mosely. ILB.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers. Mike Evans. WR.
16. Dallas Cowboys. Aaron Donald. DT.
17. Baltimore Ravens. Bradly Roby. CB.
18. New York Jets. Darqueze Dennard. CB.
19. Miami Dolphins. Zach Martin. OT/OG.
20. Arizona Cardinals. Ryan Shazier. OLB.
-----------------------------------------
11. Tennessee Titans. Anthony Barr. OLB.
12. New York Giants. Eric Ebron. TE.
13. St. Louis Rams. Clinton Dix. S.
14. Chicago Bears. CJ Mosely. ILB.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers. Mike Evans. WR.
16. Dallas Cowboys. Aaron Donald. DT.
17. Baltimore Ravens. Bradly Roby. CB.
18. New York Jets. Darqueze Dennard. CB.
19. Miami Dolphins. Zach Martin. OT/OG.
20. Arizona Cardinals. Ryan Shazier. OLB.
-----------------------------------------
Thursday, May 1, 2014
I've been gone for too long. I should write more.
So, the draft was suppose to be last weekend. (last weekend of April) Instead it will be two weeks later. I get it. We're all sick of the draft talk. I don't understand why the NFL moved it, but it has given me more time to think about what might happen. But, does it feel, to you, like we are the LEAST sure about this year than priors? We say it every year but I just feel like I'm stuck between the hype and the logic.
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1. Houston Texans. Their number one need is QB and OL. NOT DE. I just can't see them taking Clowney here and winning games especially considering they gave up Schaub for a 6th round pick? I don't see them going with Robinson or Matthews here either since both scenarios end up with the Texans using Fitz or Keenum next year. Yuck. So, is Clowney worth taking at the #1 pick? Sure. Who trades up to get him? I wish I knew. I believe SOMEONE is going to trade up for Clowney here.
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2. St. Louis Rams. The Rams have two first round picks. They have some luxury. I think the Rams will stay put and take the guy they need. Who is that? If the Rams stick with Bradford and their defense which is shockingly a strength now I think they will run with taking OT which is a weakness after the Saffold debacle. Robinson or Matthews. They can then take whoever else they want at 13 or even move around.
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3. Jacksonville Jaguars. I wish I had a crystal ball so I could tell you everything, but I don't. So you just have my speculation. Jaguars need a QB as well. Top 10 draft picks USUALLY will have this problem in common. However, and I can't believe that I am saying this, but I think they feel comfortable with Henne. Yes you may call me crazy. I think they go defense here with Kahlil Mack whose stock has risen tremendously lately and if not I think they trade back for the QB they want so someone else can get WR Watkins here at 3.
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4. Cleveland Browns. The Browns also have two first rounders this year. I think that the Browns would be foolish to trade up for a QB. I don't see a top 3 QB in the draft and the only reason one will go is out of desperation. QB league and all. They got rid of Weeden. They need a QB. They take a QB here. I hear that they are enamored with Manziel, but smoke and mirrors who knows Bortles could go here, too.
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5. Oakland Raiders. Call me crazy pick #2. I think Raiders traded for Schaub to use him for at least a year. Ala Carson Palmer to the Cardinals. I think with Watkins on the board here they gobble him up so fast your head will spin.
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6. Atlanta Falcons. If the Falcons aren't one of the two teams supposedly willing to sell the farm for Clowney I think they get the runner up OT here with Jake Matthews.
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7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They did just trade away Mike Williams. They did just bring in Josh McCown. As far as my mock draft has fallen into place you have a few options here. They have DT they don't need Donald. They have Lber they dont need Barr. They have QB if you want to see McCown as a positive. I don't see a CB or a Safety high enough to take. They could og OT here with Lewan but he had some character flags. They signed Myers but they need a receiver and you have Evans on board here or they could shock the NFL and take Ebron here. My pick? Lewan. OT isnt as deep as WR is deep this year. And TE isnt worth a top 10 imo even though is he being compared to Graham. I doubt Lewan falls farther than 12 where the Giants need oline help.
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8. Minnesota Vikings. Only one QB went top 7? The vikings have Jennings and Patterson with Peterson clogging the box? OK they NEED a QB here and if Bortles or Manziel FELL here and they didn't need to trade up for him? Oh yea. I hate the Vikings but they would be nuts to not take one here.
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9. Buffalo Bills. The Bills lost Byrd to free agency. For what picks are available here and I am just going for crazy picks I think they take Pryor or Clinton-Dix. Jim Schwartz takes over this defense and like they did with the Lions I think they take a hard hitting safety for that defense. They got the QB. Dont need RB. They drafted WR last year. They could use oline but I dont see a lineman worth taking here. They got dline and lbers. Ill take Pryor.
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10. Detroit Lions. The one team I know a lot about. They need WR and they need CB/S with a wildcard position of Lber. It will be one of those guys. I see them taking Gilbefrt. They can finally take the top Corner. Sure they need defense and I wouldnt be surprised if they take Barr here or Evans but my money is on the fact that they brought in a secondary coach to take over the defense from Baltimore. Surprise pick? Clinton-Dix.
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I will fill in the next 10 at a later date. Got a week til the draft.
Friday, August 30, 2013
This is for all the marbles!
This is my most important league. Money is on the line. Pride is at stake! Loser takes the walk!
The draft was quite the cluster-fuck. The commish had to pause the draft a few times due to people being unable to login. I was OK and I used it to my advantage a few times, but I would say I couldn't of done too much better in this draft.
It is a 10 team league. Standard format. I am going to go through each round and tell you what I was thinking. Who I will be constantly watching and comparing myself to, as I could of taken this or that guy with whatever pick. I had the 5th pick so I was picking evenly throughout the draft.
And away we go..
Round 1. Marshawn Lynch RB Who I could of taken instead: Jamaal Charles or CJ Spiller. I actually could of taken quite a few other guys like Ray Rice or Alfred Morris. I isolate Charles and Spiller bc of their projections and last year production.
Round 2. Julio Jones WR Who I could of taken instead: Brandon Marshall.
Round 3. Reggie Bush RB Who I could of taken instead: Frank Gore or Steven Jackson
Round 4. Vincent Jackson WR Who I could of taken instead: Andre Johnson Victor Cruz or Jordy Nelson
Round 5. Dwayne Bowe WR Who I could of taken instead: Hakeem Nicks or Lamar Miller
Round 6. Matthew Stafford QB Who I could of taken instead: David Wilson or Mike Wallace
Round 7. Darren Sproles RB Who I could of taken instead: Ryan Matthews or Ahmad Bradshaw
Round 8. Houston D/ST Who I could of taken instead: Denver D/ST
Round 9. Jermichael Finley TE Who I could of taken instead: Chris Ivory TY Hilton or Lance Moore
Round 10. Andrew Luck QB Who I could of taken instead: DeAngelo Williams or Denarius Moore
Round 11. Daryl Richardson RB Who I could of taken instead: Montee Ball or Shane Vareen
Round 12. Brandon Meyers TE Who I could of taken instead: Emmanuel Sanders
Round 13. Josh Gordon WR Who I could of taken instead: Jonathan Dwyer or Green Ellis
Round 14. Vick Ballard RB Who I could of taken instead: Ronnie Hillman or Bryce Brown
Round 15. Aldon Smith LBer (Navarro Bowman) IDP Who I could of taken instead: Sean Lee or Bowman instead if using a waiver already.
Round 16. David Akers K Who I could of taken instead: Bailey or Hauschka or Zuerlein
The draft was quite the cluster-fuck. The commish had to pause the draft a few times due to people being unable to login. I was OK and I used it to my advantage a few times, but I would say I couldn't of done too much better in this draft.
It is a 10 team league. Standard format. I am going to go through each round and tell you what I was thinking. Who I will be constantly watching and comparing myself to, as I could of taken this or that guy with whatever pick. I had the 5th pick so I was picking evenly throughout the draft.
And away we go..
Round 1. Marshawn Lynch RB Who I could of taken instead: Jamaal Charles or CJ Spiller. I actually could of taken quite a few other guys like Ray Rice or Alfred Morris. I isolate Charles and Spiller bc of their projections and last year production.
Round 2. Julio Jones WR Who I could of taken instead: Brandon Marshall.
Round 3. Reggie Bush RB Who I could of taken instead: Frank Gore or Steven Jackson
Round 4. Vincent Jackson WR Who I could of taken instead: Andre Johnson Victor Cruz or Jordy Nelson
Round 5. Dwayne Bowe WR Who I could of taken instead: Hakeem Nicks or Lamar Miller
Round 6. Matthew Stafford QB Who I could of taken instead: David Wilson or Mike Wallace
Round 7. Darren Sproles RB Who I could of taken instead: Ryan Matthews or Ahmad Bradshaw
Round 8. Houston D/ST Who I could of taken instead: Denver D/ST
Round 9. Jermichael Finley TE Who I could of taken instead: Chris Ivory TY Hilton or Lance Moore
Round 10. Andrew Luck QB Who I could of taken instead: DeAngelo Williams or Denarius Moore
Round 11. Daryl Richardson RB Who I could of taken instead: Montee Ball or Shane Vareen
Round 12. Brandon Meyers TE Who I could of taken instead: Emmanuel Sanders
Round 13. Josh Gordon WR Who I could of taken instead: Jonathan Dwyer or Green Ellis
Round 14. Vick Ballard RB Who I could of taken instead: Ronnie Hillman or Bryce Brown
Round 15. Aldon Smith LBer (Navarro Bowman) IDP Who I could of taken instead: Sean Lee or Bowman instead if using a waiver already.
Round 16. David Akers K Who I could of taken instead: Bailey or Hauschka or Zuerlein
Tuesday, July 30, 2013
So, Injuries are already mounting for teams
And some guys are already out for the season.
And even some guys did something stupid and will be banned certain games. \
While others even murder people and will never see the field again.
So who are these guys? Let me tell you. How does it effect your fantasy team?
1. Aaron Hernandez TE New England Patriots. Out forever. In jail, maybe, forever.
2. Rob Gronkowski TE New England Patriots. PUP list and if he isn't back by August 31st he has to miss the first 6 weeks of the season. Guess what? I don't trust the guy being injured. I believe he will miss the first 6 weeks of the season. IF he doesn't I just don't see how he becomes a target worth having until later on in the season. IF you can get him for REALLY cheap in the later rounds sure. If you have that luxury. For me? I'm just not touching the guy.
3. Dennis Pitta TE Baltimore Ravens. Out for the year. Ed Dickson is now the #1 TE in Baltimore.
4. Jeremy Maclin WR Philadelphia Eagles. Out for the year. Last year I had Maclin and I really didn't know what to do with him. Now we don't have to worry about it. In fact, it made a lot decisions easier. DeSean Jackson is now the legit #1 WR in Philly.
5. Justin Blackmon WR Jacksonville Jaguars. Banned for substance abuse. Cecil Shorts value for the first 4-6 weeks is looking better. I like Cecil Shorts as a 3rd WR. If you can get him as a 4th WR it would be excellent depth.
6. Percy Harvin WR and Sydney Rice WR Seattle Seahawks. I wouldn't take either of these guys anyway unless it was depth on my bench. But, both of these guys are going to miss time in the regular season. Golden Tate and Marshawn Lynch look like the guys to grab for Seattle.
If I think of more (I know Koppen C is out for the Broncos and CB Berry for the Jets and Melvin Ingram for the Chargers but they aren't actual fantasy players so I don't count that.)
And even some guys did something stupid and will be banned certain games. \
While others even murder people and will never see the field again.
So who are these guys? Let me tell you. How does it effect your fantasy team?
1. Aaron Hernandez TE New England Patriots. Out forever. In jail, maybe, forever.
2. Rob Gronkowski TE New England Patriots. PUP list and if he isn't back by August 31st he has to miss the first 6 weeks of the season. Guess what? I don't trust the guy being injured. I believe he will miss the first 6 weeks of the season. IF he doesn't I just don't see how he becomes a target worth having until later on in the season. IF you can get him for REALLY cheap in the later rounds sure. If you have that luxury. For me? I'm just not touching the guy.
3. Dennis Pitta TE Baltimore Ravens. Out for the year. Ed Dickson is now the #1 TE in Baltimore.
4. Jeremy Maclin WR Philadelphia Eagles. Out for the year. Last year I had Maclin and I really didn't know what to do with him. Now we don't have to worry about it. In fact, it made a lot decisions easier. DeSean Jackson is now the legit #1 WR in Philly.
5. Justin Blackmon WR Jacksonville Jaguars. Banned for substance abuse. Cecil Shorts value for the first 4-6 weeks is looking better. I like Cecil Shorts as a 3rd WR. If you can get him as a 4th WR it would be excellent depth.
6. Percy Harvin WR and Sydney Rice WR Seattle Seahawks. I wouldn't take either of these guys anyway unless it was depth on my bench. But, both of these guys are going to miss time in the regular season. Golden Tate and Marshawn Lynch look like the guys to grab for Seattle.
If I think of more (I know Koppen C is out for the Broncos and CB Berry for the Jets and Melvin Ingram for the Chargers but they aren't actual fantasy players so I don't count that.)
My first real team.
I like to draft one team early. So, here it is!
I was on nfl.com and this is a 10 team league.
I was drafting 10th/11th.
LeSean McCoy RB
CJ Spiller RB
Note: I will be comparing my guys against Trent Richardson RB since I passed him up for both of these guys.
Steven Jackson RB
Vincent Jackson WR
Note: I couldn't believe Steven Jackson RB fell this far. I had to take him as the Flex. However, I will be looking at Randall Cobb WR, Reggie Wayne WR, Frank Gore RB, and Steven Ridley RB or Reggie Bush RB bc I passed on them as well here.
Jordy Nelson WR
Hakeem Nicks WR
Note: Amendola WR was here but I passed on him. I also passed on Mike Wallace WR and Wes Welker WR.
Matthew Stafford QB
David Wilson RB
Note: I had no qualms what-so-ever on these two picks. Only Romo was left of the top 8 QB and I pounced. David Wilson was one of a few guys but they are depth. I could of taken the Bears D/ST but I feel I got better value with Broncos later. Darren Sproles was probably the only guy I could say I passed up at this point for Wilson.
Broncos D/ST
Cecil Shorts WR
Note: I could of went with Bengals D/ST and Tavon Austin WR I might regret the Tavon Austin pass.
Brandon Myers TE
TY Hilton WR
Note: Giovanni Bernard RB was here where I got TY Hilton WR only problem was I didn't need RB. I needed WR.
Isaiah Pead RB
Denarius Moore WR
Note: It was all gambles at this point. With DHB gone in Oakland and I expect them to be behind and passing often I like the upside of Moore. Richardson RB from Rams was already gone. I gambled on Pead.
Steven Hauschka K
Note: BPA Kicker.
I was on nfl.com and this is a 10 team league.
I was drafting 10th/11th.
LeSean McCoy RB
CJ Spiller RB
Note: I will be comparing my guys against Trent Richardson RB since I passed him up for both of these guys.
Steven Jackson RB
Vincent Jackson WR
Note: I couldn't believe Steven Jackson RB fell this far. I had to take him as the Flex. However, I will be looking at Randall Cobb WR, Reggie Wayne WR, Frank Gore RB, and Steven Ridley RB or Reggie Bush RB bc I passed on them as well here.
Jordy Nelson WR
Hakeem Nicks WR
Note: Amendola WR was here but I passed on him. I also passed on Mike Wallace WR and Wes Welker WR.
Matthew Stafford QB
David Wilson RB
Note: I had no qualms what-so-ever on these two picks. Only Romo was left of the top 8 QB and I pounced. David Wilson was one of a few guys but they are depth. I could of taken the Bears D/ST but I feel I got better value with Broncos later. Darren Sproles was probably the only guy I could say I passed up at this point for Wilson.
Broncos D/ST
Cecil Shorts WR
Note: I could of went with Bengals D/ST and Tavon Austin WR I might regret the Tavon Austin pass.
Brandon Myers TE
TY Hilton WR
Note: Giovanni Bernard RB was here where I got TY Hilton WR only problem was I didn't need RB. I needed WR.
Isaiah Pead RB
Denarius Moore WR
Note: It was all gambles at this point. With DHB gone in Oakland and I expect them to be behind and passing often I like the upside of Moore. Richardson RB from Rams was already gone. I gambled on Pead.
Steven Hauschka K
Note: BPA Kicker.
Saturday, July 20, 2013
My top twelve or ten or eight. My tops.
I am on vacation, and I realize that I haven't put up anything recently. The wife and I are just chilling on a Friday night and I have my laptop so why not, right?
I was thinking: I have no problem taking a gamble on certain players late in the draft, but what about my first few rounds? Who are my top guys? So, I will make my list of each position.
I won't be explaining my reasoning as well as I could, and for that I apologize.
QB
1. Aaron Rodgers
2. Drew Brees
3. Peyton Manning
4. Tom Brady
5. Cam Newton
6. Matt Ryan
7. Matt Stafford
8. Tony Romo
9. Andrew Luck
10. RGIII
11. Colin Kaepernick
12. Russell Wilson
I don't trust any of those rookies except Luck. Bash me all you want I only trust the top 6-8 guys, and that would be MY top 6-8 guys.
RB
1. Adrian Peterson
2. Arian Foster
3. Doug Martin
4. Marshawn Lynch
5. Jamaal Charles
6. LeSean McCoy
7. Ray Rice
8. CJ Spiller
9. Matt Forte
10. Trent Richardson
11. Alfred Morris
12. Steven Jackson and/or MJD
I trust the 8-9 the most. After that drop off it's about 5 guys and then you hope you have 2x of the top 20 guys. If not good luck this year.
WR
1. Calvin Johnson
2. Dez Bryant
3. AJ Green
4. Julio Jones
5. Brandon Marshall
6. Demaryius Thomas
7. Larry Fitzgerald
8. Vincent Jackson
9. Andre Johnson
10. Randall Cobb
11. Marques Colston
12. Victor Cruz
This is tricky. I think there is a possibility that 3-4 of these guys could land between 13-20. WR is always random each year. I do NOT trust Percy Harvin. I just don't like the guy. For better or worse.
TE
1. Jimmy Graham
2. Jason Witten
3. Tony Gonzalez
4. Rob Gronkowski
5. Kyle Rudolph
6. Dennis Pitta
7. Vernon Davis
8. Brandon Myers
9. Greg Olsen
10. Jermichael Finley
11. Owen Daniels
12. Antonio Gates
Would prefer a top eight, but if I get the right 3x WR and 2x RB and 1x QB I would be willing to sacrifice TE until late.
D/ST
1. Seahawks
2. 49ers
3. Texans
4. Broncos
5. Bears
6. Bengals
7. Packers
8. Cardinals
9. Rams
10. Patriots
11. Ravens
12. Giants
I would prefer a top FIVE D/ST
K
1. Matt Bryant
2. Matt Prater
3. Justin Tucker
4. Blair Walsh
5. Greg Zuerlein
6. Stephen Gostkowski
7. Steven Haushchka
8. Sebastian Janikowski
9. Garett Hartley
10. Mason Crosby
11. Dan Bailey
12. David Akers
I would honestly take any of these twelve Kickers if they were there in the last round. I don't know anyone who is drafting two kickers in a 12 team league so it should be safe to wait until the last last last last round.
I was thinking: I have no problem taking a gamble on certain players late in the draft, but what about my first few rounds? Who are my top guys? So, I will make my list of each position.
I won't be explaining my reasoning as well as I could, and for that I apologize.
QB
1. Aaron Rodgers
2. Drew Brees
3. Peyton Manning
4. Tom Brady
5. Cam Newton
6. Matt Ryan
7. Matt Stafford
8. Tony Romo
9. Andrew Luck
10. RGIII
11. Colin Kaepernick
12. Russell Wilson
I don't trust any of those rookies except Luck. Bash me all you want I only trust the top 6-8 guys, and that would be MY top 6-8 guys.
RB
1. Adrian Peterson
2. Arian Foster
3. Doug Martin
4. Marshawn Lynch
5. Jamaal Charles
6. LeSean McCoy
7. Ray Rice
8. CJ Spiller
9. Matt Forte
10. Trent Richardson
11. Alfred Morris
12. Steven Jackson and/or MJD
I trust the 8-9 the most. After that drop off it's about 5 guys and then you hope you have 2x of the top 20 guys. If not good luck this year.
WR
1. Calvin Johnson
2. Dez Bryant
3. AJ Green
4. Julio Jones
5. Brandon Marshall
6. Demaryius Thomas
7. Larry Fitzgerald
8. Vincent Jackson
9. Andre Johnson
10. Randall Cobb
11. Marques Colston
12. Victor Cruz
This is tricky. I think there is a possibility that 3-4 of these guys could land between 13-20. WR is always random each year. I do NOT trust Percy Harvin. I just don't like the guy. For better or worse.
TE
1. Jimmy Graham
2. Jason Witten
3. Tony Gonzalez
4. Rob Gronkowski
5. Kyle Rudolph
6. Dennis Pitta
7. Vernon Davis
8. Brandon Myers
9. Greg Olsen
10. Jermichael Finley
11. Owen Daniels
12. Antonio Gates
Would prefer a top eight, but if I get the right 3x WR and 2x RB and 1x QB I would be willing to sacrifice TE until late.
D/ST
1. Seahawks
2. 49ers
3. Texans
4. Broncos
5. Bears
6. Bengals
7. Packers
8. Cardinals
9. Rams
10. Patriots
11. Ravens
12. Giants
I would prefer a top FIVE D/ST
K
1. Matt Bryant
2. Matt Prater
3. Justin Tucker
4. Blair Walsh
5. Greg Zuerlein
6. Stephen Gostkowski
7. Steven Haushchka
8. Sebastian Janikowski
9. Garett Hartley
10. Mason Crosby
11. Dan Bailey
12. David Akers
I would honestly take any of these twelve Kickers if they were there in the last round. I don't know anyone who is drafting two kickers in a 12 team league so it should be safe to wait until the last last last last round.
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